TERRORIST GUN ATTACK-o-METER 

After the Cold War the trade in Kalashnikov assault rifles changed. A complex world wide network of brokers found a profitable trading device in the Kalashnikov assault rifle. This is again a factor that stimulates the proliferation of the Kalashnikov assault rifles world wide. As long as conflicts of interest exist there will be a trade in small arms which means the world wide proliferation is a fact. Understanding that small arms are durable and have a rather long product life cycle the number of AKs available world wide will be growing. 

The consequences of the new AK producing countries are difficult to estimate but most likely it will be a new stage of the proliferation process because it doesn't have to be the trade in the weapon in itself but the knowledge to build an AK that stimulates the diffusion process too. Strategic defense planners are challenged to take into account the fact that so many Kalashnikov assault rifles are travelling world wide. It is a fact to keep in mind. Eventually illegal small arms trade should not be confused with legal small arms trade.    

TERRORIST GUN ATTACK-o-METER

35) June 29th 2016: Turkey 

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist oganization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

Several terrorists with Kalashnikov assault rifles and explosives
Turkey
Middle East

Civilians
Islamic State (ISIS)
at least 28 people 
4 (days)

     

34) June 25th 2016: Somali / Mogadishu 

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist oganization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

Several terrorists with Kalashnikov assault rifles and explosives
Somalia
Africa

Civilians in hotel
Al-Shabaab
at least 15 people 
23 (days)

     

33) June 12th 2016: United States / Orlando   

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist oganization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

One terrorists with automatic rifle (not confirmed)
United States
North America

Civilians
-
at least 53 people 
4 (days)

     

32) June 8th 2016: Tel Aviv 

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist oganization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

Two terrorists with sub machine guns
Israel
Middle East

Civilians on the Tel Aviv Market
Islamic State (possibly inspired on the ISIS)
at least 4 people 
7 (days)

 

31) June 1st 2016: Somali / Mogadishu 

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist oganization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

Terrorists with Kalashnikovs and explosives
Somalia
Africa

Civilians (in hotel Ambassador)
Al Shabab
at least 16 people 
72 (days)

      

30) March 21st 2016: terrorist attacks in Brussels Airport and Metro  

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist oganization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

Terrorist with explosives and assumably Kalashnikov gun fire
Belgium
Europe

Civilians
Islamic State (ISIS)
35 people 
6 (days)

     

29) March 15th 2016: terrorist counter attack on Belgian police / service men  

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist oganization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

Terrorist with Kalashnikov
Belgium
Europe

Police and service men
Islamic State (ISIS)
4 police and service men injured
2 (days)

     

28) March 13th 2016: terrorist attack on hotels Ivory Coasts 

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist oganization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

Terrorists with Kalashnikovs and explosives
Ivory Coast
Africa

Civilians (in Grand Bassam beach resort)
Al Qaeda
24 guests in and around restaurant
16 (days)

    

27) February 26th 2016: terrorist attack on hotel in Mogadishu 

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist oganization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

Terrorists with Kalashnikovs and explosives
Somalia
Africa

Civilians (in hotel)
Al Shabab
9 guests in and around restaurant
26 (days)

      

26) January 31th 2016: possible terrorist gun attack attemp in Disneyland

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist organization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

Possible terrorists with hand guns and Kalashnikov magazines
France
Europe

Civilians (in Disneyland)
Islamic State (ISIS) (not confirmed)
0 (hotel guests were taken hostage)
10 (days)

     

25) January 21th 2016: beachfront complex in Mogadishu

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist oganization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

Terrorists with Kalashnikovs and explosives
Somalia
Africa

Civilians (in hotel)
Al Shabab
24 guests in and around restaurant
4 (days)

     

24) January 17th 2016: Ouagadougou hotel attack

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist organization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

Terrorists with Kalashnikovs and explosives
Burkina Faso
Africa

Civilians (in hotel)
Al Qaeda
24 (hotel guests were taken hostage)
3 (days)

        

23) January 14th 2016: Street shooting Jakarta 

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist organization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

Terrorists with hand guns and explosives
Indonesia
Asia
Civilians (on the street in and around Star Bucks Cafe)
Islamic State (ISIS)
2 (about 24 civilians were injured)
13 (days)

     

22) January 1st 2016: street shooting Tel Aviv     

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist organization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

Terrorist with Sub-Machine gun
Israel
Middle East
Civilians (on the street)
Islamic State (ISIS) 
2 (about 7 civilians were injured)
40 (days)

       

21) December 2nd 2015: San Bernardino shooting

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist organization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

Terrorists with illegal weapons and explosives
United States of America
North America
Inland regional center
Islamic State (ISIS)
14 (about 22 people seriously injured
9 (days)

     

20) November 22nd 2015: Mali hotel attack

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist organization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

Terrorist with Kalashnikovs and hand grenades
Mali
Africa
Civilians (in hotel)
al Qaeda
20 (about 170 hotel guests were taken hostage)
9 (days)

      

19) November 13th 2015: Paris attacks

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist organization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

Terrorist with Kalashnikovs (multiple attacks)
France
Europe
Civilians (in restaurants and theather) and French service men
Islamic State (ISIS)
132 (among which 4 service men, numbers not confirmed yet)
84 (days)

      

18) August 21st 2015: Thalys attack Amsterdam - Paris

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist organization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

Terrorist with Kalashnikov with 9 loaded magazine attacks Thalys
France
Europe
Civilians (train travellers)
Islamic State (ISIS)
0 (3 people injured / number of casualities could have been 40 up to 70)
55 (days)

    

17) June 27th 2015: Gunmen attack 2 tourist hotels in Tunisia

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist organization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

Several terrorists
Tunesia
Africa
Civilians (tourists)
Islamic State (ISIS)
27
86 (days)

      

16) April 2nd 2015: Garissa University Attacks

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist organization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

Several terrorists
Kenya
Africa
Civilians (non muslim students)
al Shabaab
147 (at least 79 people injured)
6 (days)

 

15) March 27th 2015: Makka al-Mukarama hotel attack

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist organization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

Several terrorists
Somali
Africa
Civilians (visitors of hotel)
al Shabaab 
14 (approximately)
41

     

14) February 14th 2015: Attacks Copenhagen on conference and synagoge

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist organization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

1 terrorist
Danmark
Europe
Civilians (conference / synagoge)
Islamic State (ISIS) 
2 (injured 5 police officers)
36

     

13) January 9th 2015: Attacks supermarket Hyper Cacher

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist organization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

1 terrorist
France
Europe
Civilians (shopping people)
Islamic State (ISIS)
5
2 (days)

    

12) January 7th 2015: Attacks on Charlie Hebdo

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist organization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

1 terrorist
France
Europe
Police officer
Islamic State (ISIS)
1
0

     

11) January 7th 2015: Attacks on Charlie Hebdo

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist organization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

2 terrorist
France
Europe
12 civilians (cartoonists) + police officer
Islamic State (ISIS)
5
16

     

10) December 22nd 2014: Australia - Sydney 

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist organization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

Terrorist with gun
Australia
Australia
Service man
Islamic State (ISIS)

61 (days)

     

9) October 22nd 2014: Canada - Toronto

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist organization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

Terrorist with gun
Canada
North America
Service man
Islamic State (ISIS)

151 (days)

    

8) May 24th 2014: Attack on Jewish museum Brussels

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist organization:
Number of civilian casualties: 
Interval previous attack (days):

1 terrorist 
Belgium
Europe
Civilians (visiting museum)
Islamic State (ISIS)
3
245

 

7) September 21st 2013: Westgate shopping mall shooting

Situation:
Country:
Continent
Target:
Terrorist organization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

4 terrorists
Nairobi
Africa
Civilians (shopping people)
Al Shabaab
63
558

   

6) March 11th 2012: Toulouse and Montauban shootings

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target
Terrorist organization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days): 

1 terrorist
France
Europe
Civilians
Al Qaeda
5
89

    

5) December 13th 2011: Liege attacks

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist organization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

1 terrorist
Belgium
Europe
Civilians
-
5
286

      

4) March 2nd 2011: Attack on US service men in Frankfurt

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist organization:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

1 terrorist
Germany
Europe
US Service men
-
2 US Service men in Frankfurt
826

        

3) November 26th 2008: Mumbai Massacre

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Terrorist organization:
Number of civilian casualties:
 
Interval previous attack (days):

9 terrorists
India
Asia
Civilians
Deccan Mujahideen
166
1547

     

2) September 1st 2004: Beslan school hostage crisis

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

5 terrorists 
Russia
Asia
Civilians (school childeren)
385
679

    

1) October 23rd 2002: Moscow theatre

Situation:
Country:
Continent:
Target:
Number of civilian casualties:
Interval previous attack (days):

45 terrorists 
Russia
Europe
Civilians visiting theater
133
-